Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
3-2
HT 0-2
Louisville City
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Louisville City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 55% of the ball to Louisville City's 45%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.99 to 1.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.17 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%, draw 24%, Louisville City 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.