Indy Eleven 1-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
1.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.3 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
2W-1D-0L
AWAY San Antonio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
246 Passes 213
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-0 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio ABDK
15.10.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-3 HT 1-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
28.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1-0
AWAY San Antonio
0.75 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
210 Passes 327
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven nicked a narrow win over San Antonio 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 43% of the ball to San Antonio's 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.75 to 1.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Antonio.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.00 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs San Antonio?

Indy Eleven 1-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 36%, draw 26%, San Antonio 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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