Indy Eleven 2-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
1W-1D-0L
AWAY San Antonio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
286 Passes 186
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-3 HT 1-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
28.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
2-0
AWAY San Antonio
0.84 xG 0.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
165 Passes 266
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven got the better of San Antonio 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Indy Eleven made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 43% of the ball to San Antonio's 57%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.50 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs San Antonio?

Indy Eleven 2-0 San Antonio in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 38%, draw 25%, San Antonio 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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