Charleston Battery 3-2 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +72% / +72%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.33/1.33
-50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.5 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tormenta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
295 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 4
8 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2018 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
3-2
AWAY Tormenta
2.55 xG 1.03
70% Ball Possession 30%
28 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
703 Passes 237
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
46 Box Touches 13
42 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery squeezed past Tormenta 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 70% of the ball to Tormenta's 30%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 2.55 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charleston Battery's control.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Tormenta?

Charleston Battery 3-2 Tormenta in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 53%, draw 22%, Tormenta 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ BTTS No
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