Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-4 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies beat Birmingham Legion 6-4. Half-time: 3-0. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Birmingham Legion saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.77 to 1.69.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Tampa Bay Rowdies against 1.33 for Birmingham Legion.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 6 - 4 Birmingham Legion in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 20%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.