Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-4 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies beat Birmingham Legion 6-4. Half-time: 3-0. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 47% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 53%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.77 to 1.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.33 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-4 Birmingham Legion in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 52%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 27%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.