New Mexico United vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United 4-2 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United saw off Real Salt Lake 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Real Salt Lake at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 36% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 64%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.41.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Real Salt Lake?
New Mexico United 4-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Real Salt Lake?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 32%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 42%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.