Union Omaha 1-2 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
0.23 xG 2.13
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
158 Passes 694
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 38
5 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.06.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 6-0 HT 2-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-2
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
0.85 xG 1.11
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 14
255 Passes 645
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City nicked a narrow win over Union Omaha 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Omaha had 32% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 68%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.85 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Sporting Kansas City?

Union Omaha 1-2 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 27%, draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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