North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising squeezed past North Carolina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 27% — and on the day Phoenix Rising made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, North Carolina had 49% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 51%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured North Carolina.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?
North Carolina 1-2 Phoenix Rising in the USA - Open Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 36%, draw 37%, Phoenix Rising 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.