Colorado Springs 4-2 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.56/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.15
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
16.0 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.08.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.11.2021 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
02.07.2021 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-2 HT 0-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs saw off Orange County SC 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.17 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Colorado Springs 4-2 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 46%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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