Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
3-1
HT 1-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
3-3
HT 2-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Sacramento Republic 2-3 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots edged past Sacramento Republic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 63% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 37%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.90 to 2.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?
Sacramento Republic 2-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 46%, draw 29%, Oakland Roots 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.