Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sacramento Republic v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sacramento Republic 2-3 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots edged past Sacramento Republic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sacramento Republic at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 63% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 37%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.90 to 2.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for Oakland Roots.
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Result & Final Score
Sacramento Republic 2 - 3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 59%, draw 25%, Oakland Roots 17%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.