El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.15/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.70
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.2 Crosses 14.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
13.08.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 5-0 HT 2-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
28.08.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-1 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
12.06.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
25.10.2020 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
02.08.2020 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 3-1 HT 3-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.57 xG 1.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
225 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 41% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 59%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.83 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 32%, draw 29%, Phoenix Rising 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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