Memphis 901 2-1 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.48/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.51
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.5 Crosses 13.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
1W-0D-1L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
402 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 4-1 HT 2-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
18.08.2022 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-2 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
2-1
AWAY New Mexico United
1.57 xG 1.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
249 Passes 454
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 squeezed past New Mexico United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Memphis 901 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 38% of the ball to New Mexico United's 62%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.57 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Memphis 901 and 2.00 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs New Mexico United?

Memphis 901 2-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 40%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Memphis 901) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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