Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Louisville City 4-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City ran out comfortable winners over Phoenix Rising 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Louisville City had 32% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 68%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.87 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Louisville City and 0.67 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising?
Louisville City 4-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 63%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.