Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Sep 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-1 HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 35% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.18
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.4 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
331 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
08.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
06.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
26.06.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-5 HT 1-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
22.05.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 HT 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
11.10.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.87 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
388 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 56% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.33 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 46%, draw 31%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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