Detroit City vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Detroit City v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Detroit City vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
New Mexico United
USLP
Detroit City 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City squeezed past New Mexico United 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Detroit City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Detroit City had 36% of the ball to New Mexico United's 64%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.36 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Detroit City and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Detroit City vs New Mexico United?
Detroit City 1-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Detroit City vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 35%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.