Indy Eleven vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Indy Eleven 3-1 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven got the better of El Paso Locomotive 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 37% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 63%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 4.12 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 2.00 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs El Paso Locomotive?
Indy Eleven 3-1 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 43%, draw 28%, El Paso Locomotive 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.