Memphis 901 3-0 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.41/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.88
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.3 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
1W-1D-3L
AWAY North Carolina
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.50 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 3-2 HT 0-2 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
11.09.2020 North Carolina North Carolina 2-3 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
09.08.2020 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-1 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
11.08.2019 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-2 HT 1-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
07.04.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
3-0
AWAY North Carolina
1.92 xG 1.51
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
542 Passes 211
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 ran out comfortable winners over North Carolina 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Memphis 901 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 67% of the ball to North Carolina's 33%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.92 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, North Carolina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Memphis 901 and 1.80 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs North Carolina?

Memphis 901 3-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 46%, draw 24%, North Carolina 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Memphis 901), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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