Miami FC 0-3 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.44
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
15.2 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
01.10.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
20.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.08.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.04.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
23.08.2021 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-3
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.37 xG 3.39
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
348 Passes 518
90% Pass Accuracy 92%
11 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic swept aside Miami FC 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hartford Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miami FC had 41% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 59%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.37 to 3.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Miami FC and 0.50 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic?

Miami FC 0-3 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 36%, draw 27%, Hartford Athletic 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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