Monterey Bay 0-0 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.66/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.6 Crosses 12.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
2W-2D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.70 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 459
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
03.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
09.07.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
07.08.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.04.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 5-0 HT 2-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
0-0
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.97 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
448 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 58% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 42%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.97 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.40 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Monterey Bay 0-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 42%, draw 27%, El Paso Locomotive 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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