Goias 1-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.2pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.24
+43% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.7 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Coritiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
04.07.2023 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-2 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
30.07.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.04.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 3-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
07.08.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-1
AWAY Coritiba
0.76 xG 0.59
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
427 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Goias vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias and Coritiba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Goias at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Goias had 58% of the ball to Coritiba's 42%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Goias and 1.17 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Goias vs Coritiba?

Goias 1-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Goias 47%, draw 29%, Coritiba 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Goias), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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