Capital 1-8 Ballard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.5pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballard EU Bookmakers 57%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.00
-32% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Capital
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ballard
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.07.2023 Capital Capital 1-3 HT 1-2 Ballard Ballard USL2
01.07.2023 Ballard Ballard 3-2 HT 0-0 Capital Capital USL2
POST-MATCH Capital vs Ballard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballard cruised past Capital 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballard as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ballard led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Capital and 3.00 for Ballard.

What was the final score of Capital vs Ballard?

Capital 1-8 Ballard in the USA - USL League 2 on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs Ballard?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballard win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Capital 25%, draw 21%, Ballard 54%. The final score 1-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballard), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballard) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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