Panama vs Guadeloupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Panama v Guadeloupe — Team-Based Signals
Panama vs Guadeloupe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Guadeloupe
GK
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadeloupe
GK
Panama 5-2 Guadeloupe — Actual Match Statistics
Panama swept aside Guadeloupe 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Panama had 63% of the ball to Guadeloupe's 37%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 4.65 to 1.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panama and 2.00 for Guadeloupe.
What was the final score of Panama vs Guadeloupe?
Panama 5-2 Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Panama vs Guadeloupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Panama 56%, draw 22%, Guadeloupe 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.