Jamaika 0-1 Guatemala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Gold Cup, 17 Jun 2025

Jamaika
0-1 HT 0-1
Guatemala
📅17/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
CONCACAF Gold Cup – 2025

Jamaika vs Guatemala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamaika v Guatemala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.31/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.47
+37% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
11.8 Crosses 4.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jamaika vs Guatemala Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Guatemala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.80 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
369 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.06.2025 Jamaika Jamaika 3-0 HT 2-0 Guatemala Guatemala DKE
12.11.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika HAZ
10.07.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
11.06.2011 Jamaika Jamaika 2-0 HT 0-0 Guatemala Guatemala GK
09.07.2005 Guatemala Guatemala 3-4 HT 2-3 Jamaika Jamaika GK

Jamaika 0-1 Guatemala — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
0-1
AWAY Guatemala
1.01 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
369 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Guatemala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guatemala nicked a narrow win over Jamaika 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jamaika at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jamaika had 54% of the ball to Guatemala's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jamaika had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jamaika and 0.60 for Guatemala.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Guatemala?

Jamaika 0-1 Guatemala in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Guatemala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 51%, draw 23%, Guatemala 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jamaika) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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