Jamaika 3-0 Guatemala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.94
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Guatemala
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.50 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
276 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 0-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika HAZ
10.07.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
11.06.2011 Jamaika Jamaika 2-0 HT 0-0 Guatemala Guatemala GK
09.07.2005 Guatemala Guatemala 3-4 HT 2-3 Jamaika Jamaika GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
3-0
AWAY Guatemala
2.11 xG 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
462 Passes 350
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Guatemala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika ran out comfortable winners over Guatemala 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jamaika as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jamaika had 56% of the ball to Guatemala's 44%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.11 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jamaika had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Jamaika and 0.75 for Guatemala.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Guatemala?

Jamaika 3-0 Guatemala in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Guatemala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 42%, draw 27%, Guatemala 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamaika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jamaika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
11 Jun 2025
01:00 St. Lucia vs Barbados Analysis →
01:00 Haiti vs Curaçao Analysis →
02:00 Uruguay vs Venezuela Analysis →
02:00 Dominik Cumhuriyeti vs Dominika Analysis →
03:00 Arjantin vs Kolombiya Analysis →
03:00 Guyana vs Montserrat Analysis →