Uruguay 2-0 Venezuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
17%
3.83
X/2
7%
10.8
X/X
19%
4.27
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
5%
10.15
2/X
5%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -24%
1.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.12
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
20.2 Crosses 13.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Venezuela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.67 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.09.2024 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
02.02.2022 Uruguay Uruguay 4-1 HT 3-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
09.06.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
06.10.2017 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
07.10.2016 Uruguay Uruguay 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
12.06.2013 Venezuela Venezuela 0-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
2-0
AWAY Venezuela
1.17 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
401 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Venezuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay got the better of Venezuela 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uruguay as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uruguay had 59% of the ball to Venezuela's 41%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Uruguay and 0.17 for Venezuela.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Venezuela?

Uruguay 2-0 Venezuela in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Venezuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 52%, draw 30%, Venezuela 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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