Arjantin 1-1 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.22
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
7%
3.96
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
18%
4.23
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
9%
9.55
2/X
4%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.53
-35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
16.4 Crosses 11.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kolombiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2024 Kolombiya Kolombiya 2-1 HT 1-0 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
15.07.2024 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
02.02.2022 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
07.07.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
09.06.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 2-2 HT 0-2 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
16.06.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 0-2 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
1-1
AWAY Kolombiya
1.07 xG 1.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
553 Passes 291
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin and Kolombiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arjantin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arjantin had 64% of the ball to Kolombiya's 36%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.07 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arjantin and 1.17 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Kolombiya?

Arjantin 1-1 Kolombiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 51%, draw 30%, Kolombiya 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arjantin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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