Kolombiya 2-1 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

Kolombiya
2-1 HT 1-0
Arjantin
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Kolombiya vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.74
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.38
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.1
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
14%
5.09
X/X
16%
3.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
7%
4.17
2/X
4%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolombiya v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.62/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
+49% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.0 Crosses 7.2
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.6

Kolombiya vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arjantin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.07.2024 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
02.02.2022 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
07.07.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
09.06.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 2-2 HT 0-2 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
16.06.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 0-2 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
12.09.2018 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ

Kolombiya 2-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya
2-1
AWAY Arjantin
2.99 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
258 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolombiya vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya squeezed past Arjantin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kolombiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kolombiya had 47% of the ball to Arjantin's 53%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.99 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolombiya's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kolombiya and 0.83 for Arjantin.

What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Arjantin?

Kolombiya 2-1 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 39%, draw 31%, Arjantin 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
10 Sep 2024
15:00 Çin vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Avustralya Analysis →
15:00 Kuzey Kore vs Katar Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Ürdün Analysis →
17:00 Umman vs Güney Kore Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs Özbekistan Analysis →