Kolombiya vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kolombiya v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals
Kolombiya vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kolombiya 2-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics
Kolombiya shaded a tight game against Arjantin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Kolombiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Arjantin saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.99 to 0.90 — on chances created, Kolombiya won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Kolombiya against 0.83 for Arjantin.
Kolombiya vs Arjantin Result & Final Score
Kolombiya 2 - 1 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kolombiya vs Arjantin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 34%, draw 35%, Arjantin 31%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.