Çin 1-2 Suudi Arabistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

Çin
1-2 HT 1-1
Suudi Arabistan
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Çin vs Suudi Arabistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 38% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
15%
+12.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-14.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çin v Suudi Arabistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 66%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.71/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.59
+7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -18%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
224 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 83%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
7.4 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Çin vs Suudi Arabistan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.78 xG 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
246 Passes 528
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.03.2022 Çin Çin 1-1 HT 0-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
12.10.2021 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 3-2 HT 2-0 Çin Çin DKE
10.01.2015 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 0-1 HT 0-0 Çin Çin ASK
19.11.2013 Çin Çin 0-0 HT 0-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASKE
06.02.2013 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 2-1 HT 1-1 Çin Çin ASKE

Çin 1-2 Suudi Arabistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çin
1-2
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
1.68 xG 0.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
202 Passes 289
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çin vs Suudi Arabistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan nicked a narrow win over Çin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suudi Arabistan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çin had 43% of the ball to Suudi Arabistan's 57%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Çin.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çin and 1.20 for Suudi Arabistan.

What was the final score of Çin vs Suudi Arabistan?

Çin 1-2 Suudi Arabistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin vs Suudi Arabistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Çin 28%, draw 26%, Suudi Arabistan 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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