Umman 1-3 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umman EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.34/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.42
-97% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +129%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
9.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.5 Crosses 18.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umman
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Güney Kore
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
10.01.2015 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-0 HT 1-0 Umman Umman ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umman
1-3
AWAY Güney Kore
0.32 xG 1.10
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
226 Passes 533
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umman vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore got the better of Umman 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Umman had 33% of the ball to Güney Kore's 67%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.32 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Umman vs Güney Kore?

Umman 1-3 Güney Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umman vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Umman 19%, draw 25%, Güney Kore 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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