Kuzey Kore 2-2 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.22
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-10.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 61%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.44
-100% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
Crosses 28.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Kore
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Katar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.23 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
216 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2019 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 0-6 HT 0-3 Katar Katar ASK
06.06.2017 Katar Katar 2-2 HT 1-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
06.11.2014 Katar Katar 3-1 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Kore
2-2
AWAY Katar
0.35 xG 1.81
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
115 Passes 437
61% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey Kore vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Kore and Katar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Katar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Kore had 27% of the ball to Katar's 73%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.35 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katar led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kuzey Kore and 3.67 for Katar.

What was the final score of Kuzey Kore vs Katar?

Kuzey Kore 2-2 Katar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Kore vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Kore 28%, draw 25%, Katar 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
10 Sep 2024
15:00 Çin vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Avustralya Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Ürdün Analysis →
17:00 Umman vs Güney Kore Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs Özbekistan Analysis →
19:00 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran Analysis →