Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0-1 HT 0-1
İran
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri v İran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY İran EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.45/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.38
+20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +28%
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.0 Crosses 20.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0W-0D-6L
AWAY İran
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
417 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2024 İran İran 2-1 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
01.02.2022 İran İran 1-0 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
07.10.2021 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
19.01.2015 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
19.01.2011 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-3 HT 0-0 İran İran ASK
10.06.2009 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 İran — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0-1
AWAY İran
0.46 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
389 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran squeezed past Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 60% of the ball to İran's 40%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 1.50 for İran.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 İran in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated an İran win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 29%, draw 28%, İran 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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