Endonezya 0-0 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 59%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.47/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.98
-84% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
14.7 Crosses 24.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avustralya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.32 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
349 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Avustralya Avustralya 4-0 HT 2-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
03.03.2010 Avustralya Avustralya 1-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
0-0
AWAY Avustralya
0.32 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 15
174 Passes 365
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya and Avustralya played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Avustralya carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Endonezya had 37% of the ball to Avustralya's 63%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.32 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avustralya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Endonezya and 2.50 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Avustralya?

Endonezya 0-0 Avustralya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 22%, draw 21%, Avustralya 58%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avustralya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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