Avustralya 4-0 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 28 Jan 2024

Avustralya
4-0 HT 2-0
Endonezya
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Avustralya vs Endonezya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.45
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
20%
3.2
X/2
6%
23.0
X/X
9%
7.34
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
6%
20.1
2/X
4%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-3.0pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avustralya v Endonezya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.13/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.80
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
59.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
42.0 Crosses 2.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Avustralya vs Endonezya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Endonezya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
03.03.2010 Avustralya Avustralya 1-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASK

Avustralya 4-0 Endonezya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya
4-0
AWAY Endonezya
1.94 xG 0.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
350 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avustralya vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya cruised past Endonezya 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avustralya had 51% of the ball to Endonezya's 49%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 1.94 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Avustralya vs Endonezya?

Avustralya 4-0 Endonezya in the Asian Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 66%, draw 19%, Endonezya 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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