Tacikistan 1-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.11
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.09
1/2
3%
33.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
12%
6.83
X/2
18%
4.08
X/X
15%
3.53
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
4%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacikistan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacikistan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.03.2023 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-0 HT 0-0 Tacikistan Tacikistan HAZTUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacikistan
1-1
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.99 xG 1.25
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 12
274 Passes 642
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 38
27 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacikistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacikistan and Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Tacikistan had 34% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 66%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.99 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Tacikistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Tacikistan 1-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the Asian Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacikistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tacikistan 31%, draw 27%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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