Haiti vs Curaçao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Haiti v Curaçao — Team-Based Signals
Haiti vs Curaçao Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Haiti 1-5 Curaçao — Actual Match Statistics
Curaçao overpowered Haiti 5-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Haiti at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Haiti's favour, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.62 to 2.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Curaçao led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Haiti against 1.00 for Curaçao.
Haiti vs Curaçao Result & Final Score
Haiti 1 - 5 Curaçao in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Haiti vs Curaçao Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Haiti 45%, draw 28%, Curaçao 27%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haiti), Under 2.5 went the other way.