Haiti vs Curaçao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haiti v Curaçao — Team-Based Signals
Haiti vs Curaçao Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Curaçao
CON
1-0
HT 0-0
Haiti
CON
Haiti 1-5 Curaçao — Actual Match Statistics
Curaçao swept aside Haiti 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Haiti at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Haiti had 60% of the ball to Curaçao's 40%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.62 to 2.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Curaçao led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haiti and 1.00 for Curaçao.
What was the final score of Haiti vs Curaçao?
Haiti 1-5 Curaçao in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haiti vs Curaçao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haiti 42%, draw 29%, Curaçao 29%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.