Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
15%
6.0
X/2
17%
4.69
X/X
20%
3.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.52
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.54/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.83
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
15.8 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Uruguay
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 2.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
283 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2022 Uruguay Uruguay 4-1 HT 3-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
09.06.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
06.10.2017 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
07.10.2016 Uruguay Uruguay 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
12.06.2013 Venezuela Venezuela 0-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
02.06.2012 Uruguay Uruguay 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela
0-0
AWAY Uruguay
1.29 xG 0.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
200 Passes 283
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Venezuela vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela and Uruguay fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Venezuela had 45% of the ball to Uruguay's 55%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Venezuela and 1.50 for Uruguay.

What was the final score of Venezuela vs Uruguay?

Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 32%, draw 36%, Uruguay 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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