Şili vs Bolivya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Şili v Bolivya — Team-Based Signals
Şili vs Bolivya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Şili
HAZTUR
2-3
HT 1-1
Şili
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Bolivya
AKU
1-1
HT 0-0
Bolivya
DKE
2-1
HT 2-1
Bolivya
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Şili
DKE
Şili 1-2 Bolivya — Actual Match Statistics
Bolivya squeezed past Şili 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Şili at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Şili had 75% of the ball to Bolivya's 25%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.08 to 1.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Şili.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şili had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Şili and 0.83 for Bolivya.
What was the final score of Şili vs Bolivya?
Şili 1-2 Bolivya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Şili vs Bolivya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Şili win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Şili 64%, draw 22%, Bolivya 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.