Ekvador vs Peru Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ekvador v Peru — Team-Based Signals
Ekvador vs Peru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ekvador 1-0 Peru — Actual Match Statistics
Ekvador came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Peru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvador as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Ekvador had 70% of the ball to Peru's 30%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 0.69 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ekvador and 1.17 for Peru.
Ekvador vs Peru Result & Final Score
Ekvador 1 - 0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ekvador vs Peru Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 66%, draw 22%, Peru 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.