Ekvador vs Peru Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ekvador v Peru — Team-Based Signals
Ekvador vs Peru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Ekvador
DKE
2-2
HT 2-0
Peru
AKU
1-2
HT 0-0
Peru
DKE
0-1
HT 0-0
Ekvador
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-0
Ekvador
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-0
Peru
DKE
Ekvador 1-0 Peru — Actual Match Statistics
Ekvador nicked a narrow win over Peru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvador as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ekvador had 70% of the ball to Peru's 30%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 0.69 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ekvador and 1.17 for Peru.
What was the final score of Ekvador vs Peru?
Ekvador 1-0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ekvador vs Peru?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 50%, draw 24%, Peru 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.