Ekvador 1-0 Peru — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 14:51
Match Result
HomeVIEW
66%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
12%
7.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
1.58
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.76
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.32
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.22
6+
3%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.78
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
23.15
X/1
23%
3.15
X/2
5%
16.4
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
6%
16.5
2/X
4%
25.5
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ekvador The Market 70%
Signal
AWAY Peru The Market 14%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.55
0.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Peru
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
311 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2022 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 0-1 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
24.06.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 2-2 HT 2-0 Peru Peru AKU
09.06.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 1-2 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
06.09.2019 Peru Peru 0-1 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
16.11.2018 Peru Peru 0-2 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
06.09.2017 Ekvador Ekvador 1-2 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador
1 - 0
AWAY Peru
0.69 xG 0.13
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
480 Passes 164
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ekvador vs Peru
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ekvador came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Peru 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvador as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Ekvador had 70% of the ball to Peru's 30%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 0.69 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ekvador and 1.17 for Peru.

Ekvador vs Peru Result & Final Score

Ekvador 1 - 0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ekvador vs Peru Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 66%, draw 22%, Peru 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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