Paraguay vs Brezilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Paraguay v Brezilya — Team-Based Signals
Paraguay vs Brezilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Paraguay 1-0 Brezilya — Actual Match Statistics
Paraguay found just enough to beat Brezilya 1-0.
This one beat our numbers. Brezilya carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Paraguay had 29% of the ball to Brezilya's 71%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.37 to 0.57.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paraguay and 2.50 for Brezilya.
Paraguay vs Brezilya Result & Final Score
Paraguay 1 - 0 Brezilya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Paraguay vs Brezilya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Paraguay 13%, draw 23%, Brezilya 64%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brezilya) went the other way.