Energetik-BGU Minsk 3-5 ML Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
16.01
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
72%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
49%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
4%
+9.0pp
15%
Draw
15%
-0.0pp
72%
Away Win
81%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 85%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.39/5.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-30% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -56%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energetik-BGU Minsk
3-5
AWAY ML Rogachev
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 31
8 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Energetik-BGU Minsk vs ML Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Rogachev got the better of Energetik-BGU Minsk 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ML Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Energetik-BGU Minsk had 40% of the ball to ML Rogachev's 60%, shots finished 19-31.

What was the final score of Energetik-BGU Minsk vs ML Rogachev?

Energetik-BGU Minsk 3-5 ML Rogachev in the Belarus - Cup on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energetik-BGU Minsk vs ML Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Energetik-BGU Minsk 13%, draw 15%, ML Rogachev 72%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ML Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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