FC Molodechno 1-4 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
66%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
65%
Away Win
64%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Molodechno
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Molodechno FC Molodechno BLR
05.04.2025 FC Molodechno FC Molodechno 0-1 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Molodechno
1-4
AWAY BATE Borisov
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov cruised past FC Molodechno 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BATE Borisov as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Molodechno had 47% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 53%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Molodechno and 1.50 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov?

FC Molodechno 1-4 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Cup on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Molodechno 13%, draw 21%, BATE Borisov 65%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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