Saburtalo 1-2 FC Rustavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Rustavi EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.38/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.33
+5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Rustavi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2026 FC Rustavi FC Rustavi 2-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-2
AWAY FC Rustavi
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs FC Rustavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Rustavi edged past Saburtalo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 63% of the ball to FC Rustavi's 37%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs FC Rustavi?

Saburtalo 1-2 FC Rustavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs FC Rustavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 41%, draw 26%, FC Rustavi 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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