FS Jelgava 0-2 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
1.97
Over Pick
62%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
37%
4-5
32%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.53 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.99
0.92 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.13
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
25.7 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.59 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
195 Passes 306
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2026 Ogre United Ogre United 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-2
AWAY Ogre United
1.85 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
295 Passes 275
34 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FS Jelgava vs Ogre United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ogre United got the better of FS Jelgava 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 58% lean on FS Jelgava went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Ogre United saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.85 to 1.64.

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United Result & Final Score

FS Jelgava 0-2 Ogre United in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 58%, draw 22%, Ogre United 20%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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