Ogre United 0-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Apr 2026

Ogre United
0-1 HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Latvia - Virsliga – 2026

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
34%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Ogre United v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava The Market 51%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.45 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.22
1.64 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.30
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.0 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ogre United 0-1 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
0-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.74 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
306 Passes 195
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
12 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ogre United vs FS Jelgava
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FS Jelgava squeezed past Ogre United 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FS Jelgava as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 57% to 43% in Ogre United's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.74 to 0.59.

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Result & Final Score

Ogre United 0-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 31%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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