BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
BFC Daugavpils v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Super Nova came out on the right side of a one-goal game with BFC Daugavpils 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 43% lean on BFC Daugavpils didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.92 (roughly 52%) the price was further off than we were. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (56%) landed.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 53% of the ball to Super Nova's 47%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.92 to 0.48 — by the quality of chances, BFC Daugavpils deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.33 for Super Nova.
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Result & Final Score
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 43%, draw 25%, Super Nova 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), BTTS Yes went the other way.