BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
BFC Daugavpils v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 2-2 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils and Super Nova traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.92, ~52%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.
The match data tells the story: BFC Daugavpils had 58% of the ball to Super Nova's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.12 to 1.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.00 for Super Nova.
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Result & Final Score
BFC Daugavpils 2-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 46%, draw 28%, Super Nova 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.