Super Nova 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils The Market 51%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
0.86 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.22
1.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.06
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
19.7 Crosses 20.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 1.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
23.09.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-1 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
05.07.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
14.05.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-3 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
01.04.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.24 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
247 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned BFC Daugavpils at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.24 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Super Nova against 2.00 for BFC Daugavpils.

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Result & Final Score

Super Nova 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 26%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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