Sydney Olympic 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Jul 2024

Sydney Olympic
1-1 HT 1-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.0pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney Olympic v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 51%
-16% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.76
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.2 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney Olympic
1W-1D-4L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.76 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 312
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.03.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
05.08.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 3-5 HT 1-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
23.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
17.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
01.05.2022 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 0-4 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
30.05.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney Olympic and APIA Leichhardt Tigers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sydney Olympic and 2.50 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sydney Olympic 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney Olympic 28%, draw 21%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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