APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 Sydney Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +21%
2.53/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.66
+19% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney Olympic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 267
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 3-5 HT 1-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
23.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
17.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
01.05.2022 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 0-4 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
30.05.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
13.03.2021 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 1-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers got the better of Sydney Olympic 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for Sydney Olympic.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney Olympic?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 Sydney Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52%, draw 22%, Sydney Olympic 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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