Queensland Lions 1-2 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Queensland Lions
1-2 HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar II
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queensland Lions v Brisbane Roar II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.47/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.53
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 11.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
19.03.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
24.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
22.04.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
11.07.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
20.03.2021 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-2 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II squeezed past Queensland Lions 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Queensland Lions carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?

Queensland Lions 1-2 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 57%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar II 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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